Make this make sense to me – Solana v ETH predictions

Make this make sense to me please because I’m honestly a bit bemused and confused by the conclusion here. It seems like there’s almost a general consensus at least from I can see that SOL this cycle will tap out at around $300ish

But then there’s a general consensus it seems like that ETH is gonna go up at least to 5K this cycle

How is it that generally people consider both these are only going to go up about 100%ish from here this cycle? Given the incumbent nature of Ethereum and the law of depreciating returns and percentage gains the longer a crypto is around in a zoomed out perspective, wouldn’t Solana (the arguably 2nd or 3rd hottest cryptocurrency of this cycle, definitely the kind of ‘it’s coin of the moment, and one that has been around shorter and less incumbent that Ethereum is widely seen as only going to go up the same percentage/increase from here this cycle?

No hate, this is a genuinely curious post