$DFNDR – ETH beta poised to rocket when ETH outperforms BTC in January (comparing a bunch of alts)

If you hold a microcap, you are in the same boat as the rest of the microcap holders. Among $ETH betas, we’re all holding on for 3 things to happen: -BTC.D completes its lower high -Q1 brings the prophesied true alt season -ETHBTC breaks through 0.04 and ETH returns above 4K

Surely, $ETH recovering and Q1 altseason means YOUR bags will pump, right? Unfortunately, no. Only the microcaps with the strongest communities will recover with the overall market. And I am concerned that $DFNDR’s community is not strong enough.

As a result, this thread intends to introduce readers to $DFNDR and galvanize the $DFNDR community to be more active in promoting $DFNDR online. This will happen in 3 parts:

– Fundamentals

– Technicals

– Alt pairs

You’ll want to stick around for part 3.

Starting with the fundamentals:

$DFNDR is known for its flagship product: Defender Bot. Telegram and Discord communities often use insecure mechanisms for group membership verification. These rely on sharing private information, like wallet connections, that can be exploited.

By enabling signature-free security, the bot ensures a frictionless and safer authentication process. Users no longer need to expose sensitive wallet signatures, mitigating risks of phishing, signature replay attacks, or unauthorized wallet drains. No wallet connection needed.

This is good for community leaders AND users. Users don’t have to worry about their private information being at risk. Community leaders can remove a big source of friction to people joining their communities while eliminating spammers and trolls. They can even add entry fees.

That’s a great start – real utility. And $DFNDR is riding the ETH beta / utility wave, so this is an important catalyst. But what’s next for $DFNDR?

Quick list – their redesigned website does great at explaining. (https://www.defenderbot.tech)

They just rebranded, dropping “bot” from their name to pave the way for a broader set of products. *They’ve onboarded 500 groups and are onboarding a sales team to bring on the next 5000.

That’s phase 6. More (post-phase 6) *Revenue share with groups ($DFNDR has an ad placement operation) *Advanced trading bot *Enhanced analytics for the bot: One of many features to make their core product even better, which is important *Advanced security features

What about the team and tokenomics? These are critical for making an investment decision. Their team and their socials have integrity and consistentcy. Every week, you’ll see u/defendereth announce a new partnership, feature improvement, monthly recap, or a token burn. Recent:

So that’s the fundamentals. On to the technicals. This is personally why I’m excited about $DFNDR. I like ranges. I like clear levels. And so do whales. Ranges establish very clear buy and sell points. And this chart has very, very clear buy and sell points. Let me show you.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfeTXUoXMAA7ZqI.jpg

One chart. Two lines. 6 months of accumulation. You buy around the bottom of the range, and you sell around the top of the range or hold if you think we break through.

Other well known coins, like $FET, who spent months ranging like this only to violently break out over 20x after. But the technical thesis is simple: We’re in the buy range. So what other buy signals or interesting patterns exist?

First, the price targets. Technical targets for a range breakout are to measure a fib from the top to the bottom of the range and see where the 1.618-2 lie. And in our case, the conservative fib (lower top, higher bottom) for the range leads us to all time highs. Confluence.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfeUTg3WAAAZx-X.jpg

(The aggressive fib is below, confluence with the 1.618 around 30 cents with a top of 60 cents.) Big buyers like this because it establishes a clear R:R to trade off. 10-20x upside for 20-30% downside as it stands now. Clear invalidation under the November sowing low of $0.024.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfeUyKiWAAAG7of.jpg

We’re not doing TA jiu jitsu here. But if you want to see something interesting, see the mirror that’s playing out below for the post-October price action. A drop, range, deviation low, move up, deviation high, move down, range, then rise. It’s nearly a perfect mirror.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfeVsUxWIAAXYPV.jpg

So that’s fun, but back to more serious indicators. Every time $ETHBTC has been around 0.04 since September, $DFNDR has been 0.07-0.08. If you think $ETHBTC is going to 0.04 again, completing a multi week inverted head and shoulders, then you stand to 2-3x $DFNDR from here.

A great look at the $ETHBTC chart here by the way

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfeXQppXYAA_NeQ.jpg

The orderly price action of the $DFNDR chart is the single biggest reason to explore getting in at the bottom of the range.

But what about all the other coins out there? If you’re like me, you’d rather own most of the coins most likely to gain during alt season. The best way to choose is to literally compare their alt pair and see what the chart says.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfeWjCUWgAAQynO.jpg

Before I get into it, please send me pairs you want me to cover. Until then, let’s start with a popular coin that has had a great run up in the last few months: #M87.

#M87 / $DFNDR: The most fascinating chart in crypto right now. It says two things: 1. Would have been better to buy #M87 since March 2. Parabolic outperformance of #M87 to $DFNDR is over. Yesterday confirmed a *weekly* bear div. Parabola breaks: $DFNDR outperforms #M87.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfeYt2gXMAAI6bZ.jpg

$APES / $DFNDR This chart is less clear. You’ll see a weaker bearish divergence, and the key here is that this can be invalidated IF $APES outperforms $DFNDR significantly enough that it breaks through the red dotted lines. Zoom in, you’ll see a head and shoulders. Watch/wait.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfeZjCXWkAAgGB3.jpg

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfeZ1F_WIAAjYI3.jpg

$INFRA / $DFNDR This one suggests maximum potential of 2x outperformance of $INFRA over $DFNDR over the next two weeks before a massive reversal. I recommend waiting until we attempt the ATH at around 900 before deciding on rotation. Touch those diagonals = it’s time to rotate.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gfeae7dXEAEQ9bN.jpg

$SVPN / $DFNDR This one suggests similar performance without a clear winner. When you switch to the USD pair on $SVPN, you’ll see an interesting ascending channel that suggest a 4x from here when it reaches the other side. The cost? A lot of volatility up and down.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfebFkqWMAAFQan.jpg

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfebWhrWoAA2qK2.jpg

$SYNK / $DFNDR Similarly, this one has been in a range with no clear outperformance. $SYNK *might* be beginning an outperformance path. Let’s check the USD pair. USD pair is highly unsure, with a double top in the making.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfecE14WIAAXgim.jpg

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfecbH-XoAA5R7w.jpg

$BERRY / $DFNDR Another interesting alt pair chart. This one shows that outside a November jump, $BERRY and $DFNDR have performed similarly. We may see a jump in outperformance or underperformance in the next few weeks if history rhymes.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gfec2JFW4AA5Cfv.jpg

$PAI / $DFNDR This chart looks great, with seemingly clear outperformance of $PAI against $DFNDR. But will it keep going? $PAI’s USD chart says it’s risky. At best, we could see a 2x by January before possibly rotating to $DFNDR. Look for bear divs on the pair chart.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfedQwoXIAAe7bK.jpg

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gfeda38WoAA2Haq.jpg

$QF / $DFNDR This pair suggests it is may not yet be time to rotate. $QF’s alt pair suggests that it could bounce down from now (see the RSI trend), but this strength makes me think it could outperform by up to 4x in the short term. USD pair more clear. Suggests 3x by January.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gfeect8W0AAjToI.jpg

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfeejRhW8AA_Dxm.jpg

$COR / $DFNDR I love this chart. This one shows a clean trendline with a bear div that could play out as I’ve seen charts like this before. Suggests 50% outperformance of $COR over $DFNDR over the next couple weeks before the roles reverse.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gfefj-2WMAAWZc0.jpg

$HMKR / $DFNDR Probably my second favorite chart in this thread after the #M87 one. You can see a parabola in the making, even though it’s messy. Suggests all time high tap with 3x outperformance of $DFNDR short term before a possibly bloody reversal and a break of parabola.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfegQ2ZWQAAOBm-.jpg

$CPAL / $DFNDR If we break through the RSI trend, then we could see 3x outperformance against $DFNDR. It’s weak right now and needs to break through the red dotted price line before we know either way.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfegsBQXQAAkdy4?format=jpg&name=medium

As you can see, the goal here is to do a true analysis of $DFNDR among the many coins out there. For some, it’s clear it’s time to rotate. For others, it’s not quite time and I hope I’ve armed you with the knowledge to make a good decision when the time comes.

So to recap:

1. One of the clearest buy zones among micros.
2. Multi month range.
3. Clear price target that emerges from that range ($0.30-0.60).
4. DFNDR’s rebrand is intended to pave the way for more products in 2025.